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Do analysts lack common sense, or are they simply being paid under the table by Sony?

If the PS3 has only sold 32 million in its first 3+ years of existence, which is almost always the prime time for the console's life, what in blue hell would prompt him to think that it'll sell another near 100 million in years 4-10, when console sales tend to stagnate and decline? Or does he just think the PS3 will just magically sell forever?

I don't get people.