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They use weird metrics. "In use" isn't lifetime sales. But how they arrive at the "In use" figure beats me.

I guess they wouldn't be so stupid as to say that the Wii will have sold 76 million at the end of this year. 85 million sold seems like a reasonable figure (20m sold this year), and that would mean around 90% of Wii's "in use".

But if there are 85m Wii's by the end of this year, they only expect 18 million more sold total? That just feels wrong. And the PS3, respectively, will steal all of those Wii sales and sell 20m per year (on average) for the rest of it's "10 year lifespan"?

I don't understand how they think.



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