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You probably also have to add marketing, support and miscellaneous expenses. Marketing could be significant as some games have a marketing budget nearly equal to the development budget.

Just making a profit is not the goal. The goal is to make a LOT of profit.



Anyone can guess. It takes no effort to throw out lots of predictions and have some of them be correct. You are not and wiser or better for having your guesses be right. Even a blind man can hit the bullseye.