So who thought Sony was crazy when they said the PS3 will sell 13m for 2009

[joeorc]

greenmedic88 said:
SCE made those projections based upon information they knew ahead of time before the general public did.

If the 13m projections had been for a $399 PS3, then yes, everyone would be absolutely right to think SCE's projections were unreasonable at the very least, peyote induced crazy fantasy at worst. But those projections were obviously made around a $299 hardware revision in time for the holiday season.

This is why many people who predicted a $299 slim knew it was coming when SCE released its annual projections. It was the only feasible way they could hit 13m.

As for these projections being low, everyone who believes this post a list of consoles that sold 13m in a year at $399 for the first half of the year, and $299 for the back half.

1. ...
2. ...
3. ...

My guess is there will be exactly one console on that list in about a month.

Secondly, for those who deliriously believe 13m/year is where the PS3 is going to peak, it must be based upon insider information that the PS3 will in fact be stopping production at $299, either because SCE plans to sell the console at that price for the next 7 years, or because SCE plans to exit the console business before they drop production costs/MSRP again.

The majority of total sales for any given console has been under $199 without fail since the inception of the console business. Does anyone actually think the 7th gen will be any different?

that's why I think we are just guessing right now because the systems's aside from the Wii, and the Xbox360 arcade are the only system's at that $199.00 price point, but as many on here stated the xbox360 arcade is not the best selling xbox360 in the market. out of all the xbox360 sku's.

so it's not even close to getting to peak year in my opinion until i think even after both Arch and Natal have been on the market a while, and a new upgraded Nintendo Wii hit's the market..