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numonex said:
PS3 has sold 4.86 million in 3.3 years. 5.14 million away from 10 million, should get there in 3 years time.
360 has sold 1.26 million in 4.3 years. 0.24 million away from 1.5 million should get there in a year's time.

360 could even reach 2 million sales in Japan before the PS3 reaches 10 million sales in 3 years time.

360 will be first, but I remain skeptical as to its chances of then also hitting 2mil.