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ymeaga1n on 24 February 2010
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aragod said:
ymeaga1n said:

I'll bite...I don't think it will happen. 3mill LTD... a chance of it....but this year...nope. I would in fact consider it outlandish.

The ps2 install bases when GOW1 and 2 were released were 83m and 112m respectively. That's 50m more ps2s compared to ps3s in homes when GOW1 was release and 80m more ps2 than ps3 at when GOW2 released.

I don't buy that GOW3 will all of a sudden sell the 3m in first year when the first gow took it's whole life to do that amount at over 2.5x the amount of ps2 owners.

Install base is one thing, but look at MGS series, 4th MGS sold more than 3rd, which had 6 times the install base of the 4th. I don't think it's that relevant anymore, and when you have a title that recieves great critical acclaim, good word of mouth and is enough pushed by marketing, which will be GoW3 case, it's possible.

 

Really? MGS3? That's like comparing Halo 3 sales to what Halo Reach will sell, instead of Halo 2.

I, like a lot of people, never cared for the prequel MGS3. Comparing MGS2, it sold 5.6m when install base was 15.5m at launch, to MGS4, sold 4.5 million when it had 12.6m install base, is a better representations for a game that is a direct sequel.

GOW2 had GREAT word of mouth and overwhelming acclaim and it was only able to see 2.6m with a 113m PS2s on the market...didn't even sell as much as GOW1. What is your justification for saying GOW3 will sell 3m within 9 months with a 33m install base? Marketing???