can the 360 sell 70+ million consoles?

[heruamon]

Seece said:

Natal Soars

2010 - 12 million
2011 - 12 million
2012 - 8 million
2013 - 5 million
2014 - 2 million / discontinued

= 78 million

Natal Fails

2010 - 9.5 million
2011 - 8 million
2012 - 5 million
2013 - 2 million/ discontinued

= 65 million

People think it's daunting, until you start looking at how the console needs to perform on a per/annum basis to see that it's not totally out of reach...as you estimated, alot depends on Natal's reception to the public...if it takes off as M$ wants it to, chances are this generation is going to be 1-2 years longer, so We'd see a new console in late 2012 as at the earliest.