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Kasz216 on 20 February 2010
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highwaystar101 said:
Kasz216 said:
58% of British people think Sherlock Holmes is a real person.

In other words. 71% isn't particularly high for something that's close to being the case.

Haha. I remember that poll, being so ashamed of my fellow countrymen. Didn't 24% also believe that Winston Churchill was fictional?

Anyway, your bit about statistics kind of reminds of Doug Stanhope talking about polls on the news. Whereby basically a poll will come up on a complicated subject that is hard to understand, yet you will get 57% say yes, 40% say no and 3% say I don't know. In reality they all don't know and all it tells you is that 97% of people will give you a strong opinion based on something they know nothing about.

And it's true, especially when it comes to Iran having nukes. It's a situation that even the brightest minds who's job it is to know, don't know. I would guess from reports I've read that their Uranium enrichment facilities are far too small to produce any nuke, let alone a large one or several. So it would be foolish for them to build one. But then again, I have absolutely no clue what I'm talking about like everyone else, I have not been to Iran and examined their Uranium enrichment programme. No one outside of the Iranian government has.

The moral of the story is that public opinion polls should not be trusted.

Yep.


In general I believe the IAEA said about 5 years ago we shouldn't worry because it was likely that it would be 10-15 years that they'ed get a nuke... with a sligher chance they'd get one in 5 years.

5 years later... they're saying we should worry.