Microsoft recently said that they will be supporting Natal for five years after it comes out. That means this is about half way through the 360's liftime. It is already almost 40 million consoles. 40 million times 2 is 80 million, but that seems a little high. With Halo reach, splinter cell, fable 3, alan wake, natal, more pricecuts, more Gigs, gears 3 next year I could see the 360 lasting a LONG time...what's your take on this...am I crazy?