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tombi123 said:
sguy78 said:
tombi123 said:
@Sqrl

The increase in intensity is negligible at the moment. But remember that even if we stopped increasing our CO2 emissions tomorrow, ocean temperatures would rise for the next 30-40 years releasing more CO2 into the atmosphere which then increases land surface temp etc. leading to increasing hurricane intensity.

5-10% increase doesn't sound like a lot, but it would cost more lives and money, especially in low lying developing countries.

We shouldn't be throwing exorbitant amounts of the people's money on what ifs. I could tell you that Skittles cause cancer, and you could possibly die a horrible death as a result of eating them with no proof whatsoever. Would you give me millions of dollars with no discernable proof to force people to stop eating them?

Increasing hurricane intensity due to increasing land surface temperature (relative to ocean surface temperature) isn't a what if. It is a fact. 

Just so you know, my position on Climate Change is in between the advocates and sceptics. I believe we are contributing to global warming because carbon has been shown to absorb/trap heat, and we emit carbon. But I think we need more data to get a clearer idea of how much we are contributing to global warming.  

With respect, I believe it is possible your information might actually be out of date in certain respects: 

"Hurricane Expert Reassesses Link to Warming" (News Article) - (Research Paper[2008]). 

"The models are telling us something quite different from what nature seems to be telling us. There are various interpretations possible, e.g. a) The big increase in hurricane power over the past 30 years or so may not have much to do with global warming, or b) The models are simply not faithfully reproducing what nature is doing. Hard to know which to believe yet."

It is fair to point out that Dr Emanuel is an AGW proponent so the point of my linking him is not to claim he supports everything I say, but merely to exhibit that credentialed experts in the field of hurricane activity have in fact "hedged their bets".



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