lonestarball said: Might as well ask if Sony will ever again have the best selling console in a generation. Until somebody knocks off Nintendo, all bets are off... Although, if either MS or Sony ever gets out, the remaining competitor will probably beat Nintendo, since the HD twins combined do. |
Hm, I highly doubt that'd happen.
First, consider that the HD consoles are slightly boosted by multiple owners (PS3 + 360). Even if this is only 3% of the group, that's over a million consoles.
Second, consider how much money the HD consoles lost combined to compete with the Wii. The 360 lost about 2 billion (?), the PS3 lost somewhere in the 4-6 billion range. Combined that's like 6-8 billion? Can MS or Sony afford losses that huge?
Third, MS does not have access to all of Sony's audience, and vice versa. Unless Sony manages to grab Fable, Halo, and Gears on their systems, or MS grabs Gran Turismo, God of War and others, not everyone will purchase the remaining competitor. Besides, if Sony or MS drops out and their IP's go third party, there's a chance they will end up on Nintendo's consoles, making it even more impossible...
Finally, we don't yet even know if the HD consoles will finish ahead of the Wii.