Will FPS games go the way of Guitar Hero?

[Fumanchu]

Unless there's a change to the current market dynamics of piracy and second-hand markets the online multi-player games will continue to rule the roost.

Meaning that a majority of the sales will be recorded and the developers and publishers will directly benefit.

Though with all the stiff competition in the genre you really need a big budget, strong marketing campaign and critical success to stand a chance now.