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it depends in many factors, like the sales of this year games, ie Silent Hill, which is doing alright or TVC (doing nice), IF Nintendo launches a  new pumped console, the market, and so forth. To tell you the truth, a powered up wii would mean no shovelware as the dev expenses would make it non profitable(and the shovelware sales arent as hot as they were 2 years ago). Anything could happen.