360 will maintain its lead over the PS3 in 2010.

[Tanstalas]

numonex said:

360 lead over PS3 will fall to 4.5 million this year, but rise again to 6 million by the end of the year.

PS3 will not be any closer to the 360 by the end of the year. It will be like Ground hog day. De ja vu'.

PS3 is not zooming pass the 360 or crushing it in weekly sales on a regular basis. The boost from the PS3 Slim launch was just a rally due to consumers waiting for a cheaper price point of $299.

Three more big games left for the PS3: Final Fantasy XIII, God of War 3 and Gran Turismo 5. 360 has more games up its sleeve for second half of 2010: Halo: Reach, Fable 3, Alan Wake and possibly Gears of War 3. Price cuts in 2010, it has been two years since the last 360 price cuts. Natal launch in second half 2010.

Sony may have to delay Gran Turismo 5 launch until the second half of 2010 and reveal the second half games very soon. PS3 not expected to cut prices on SKUs but the 120GB could be replaced with 250GB and have the $299 price tag. Sounds familiar, Microsoft dropped the Pro 60GB and replaced it with the Elite with the $299 price tag in 2009.

It will be interesting to see how the sales battle between the 360 and PS3 unfolds in the second half of 2010.  Second half of 2009 turned around in a blink of an eye all due to the PS3 Slim launch. 360 is in the battle to win and it will not lay down and die.

 

The below is only my opinion, I am not looking for a flame war, as I enjoy all my consoles equally (except for my Wii)

I feel your logic is flawed, for this reason alone:

People will not buy consoles to play Halo: Reach, Fable 3 or Gears of War 3.  Why? If they like these games they already have a console when they bought Halo 3, Halo: ODST, Fable 2, Gears of War 1 and Gears of War 2.  The only game you mentioned that could be a system seller is Alan Wake (as now it is 360 exclusive since it is no longer on PC - I know I preordered my copy)

However - the PS3 titles you mentioned (and only 3 of them?!?!?!) are all "1st iterations" for this generation, not going to include FFXIII since it is multi-platform now. 

However, I see you failed to include other exclusives to the PS3 such as Heavy Rain, Modnation Racers, FFXIV Online, The Agency, Agent and The Last Guardian to name a few more (And as well all these are "1st iteration" games, well maybe not FFXIV).

But hey - 360 gets Tron and Majesty 2: The Fantasy Kingdom Sim as well, so maybe that will balance things out :)