GOW3 very much likely to selll 1.5 mn+ first week.

[HappySqurriel]

leo-j said:

HappySqurriel said:

leo-j said:

sega4life said:

When GOW2 came out the install base for PS2 was what? 130+ million?

And it only sold 2.6 million to date..

1.5 first week will be more then half of what GOW2 did lifetime on a 130+ install base.

When MGS3 came out, the PS2 install base was what? 60 million?

And it only sold 4.0 million to date..

yet MGS4 outsold it on half the install base, and its still selling moderately well

So when is Metal Gear Solid 4 going to break 12 Million in sales, and become a reasonable example of what you're predicting?

what am I predicting?

While there is no perfect relationship between first week sales and the lifetime sales of a game, there is a relationship there. If you’re making the assumption that God of War III will sell 3 times as much first week as God of War II sold in its first week, then it is fairly safe to assume that you also predict that God of War III will sell (roughly) to 3 times the level of God of War 2.

Metal Gear Solid 4 sold better than Metal Gear Solid 3, but it certainly did not sell that much better than Metal Gear Solid 3; and we don't have data to support it selling any faster initially than Metal Gear Solid 3.