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--OkeyDokey-- said:

Metal Gear Solid fits your description perfectly. Saw a decline (of 1.5 million) from the second to third game one PS2 and sold barely a million on PSP. Then the PS3 sequel went on to sell 1.7 million first week. Significatly more than its PS2 prequel.

And MGS4 and God of War 3 are similar in that they're event type games. The last chapters in their respective franchises with a ridiculous amount of hype. Also, ioi has predicted 700-800k first week in America alone.

But look at what games were on the PS3 then compared to now. How many stealth shooter games were on the PS3 at the time of MGS4? How many hack and slashes are on the Ps3? How many of them have released this year?

Edit: Also what games were released around the launch of MGS4 compared to that of GoW III? If I remember correctly MGS4 launched with very little competition, whereas GoWIII is releasing in a time with a lot of other games that were pushed back from last year