GOW3 very much likely to selll 1.5 mn+ first week.

[wholikeswood]

pearLy said:

Let's do some calculations:

God of War - Others' sales = 28% America's Sales
God of War II - Others' sales = 35% America's Sales
[according to VGChartz data where Others sales might be incomplete]

1. God of War III preorders in America for February 6th: 350,000 (+11,000)
2. 6 weeks left until release -> 6x11,000=66,000
3. 66,000+350,000=416,000 preorders on release (not counting in the higher preorder numbers towards release)
4. 416,000 preorders + 150,000 spontaneous sales on release + higher preorder numbers towards release = 600,000 first week in America

40% x 600,000 = 240,000 first week in Others (higher percentage due to increasing popularity of the series in Europe)

America: 600,000
Others:  240,000
Japan:    25,000
Total:     865,000

These are only calculations of course. A million may still be possible. But if you make a prediction please let us know on what kind of presumptions it is based.

Excellent analysis, I reckon.

I'm similarly going to cap it at ~900k FW.