Apart from the arbitrary exclusion of Nintendo titles, the fact that there are in fact four third party titles that have sold 3mill+ (with more that are looking very likely to reach that) and the fact that 3 million could only be the standard of success on HD platforms due to high costs, by the same token routsounmanman, have there been any third party titles that should have sold 3-4 million but didn't?
I don't think any of the publishers are dumb enough to buy into that. Not EA, not any of the companies that are claiming third party games can't sell on Wii. Industry people who claim Madworld, The Conduit or even the Wii Call of Duty games *ought* to have been bigger aren't fooling themselves, they're lying to us. Say something enough, it becomes the accepted narrative.
The reason I think Capcom, Sega, and perhaps THQ are probably more likely to support the Wii, apart from their own failures on HD consoles, is because they're not the biggest publishers. The larger the publisher the greater interest they have in maintaining the status quo, as they are the ones most capable of sustaining a number of expensive blockbusters every year that soak up most of the revenue in the games industry. In addition to that, they are the ones that have been making the most steps and progress on Wii.
A game I'm developing with some friends:
www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm
It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.