Japan up!!

[binary solo]

Hyruken said:

binary solo said:

Hyruken said:
PS3 sales falling down quite fast now then, another 10k (33%) almost taken off from last week. Interestingly now year over year it is only 8k ahead. Wii dropped by 4k and 360 by around 1k. Meaning PS3 drop rate is higher then the other 2 consoles.

Software wise it is down 250k from same week last year.

Year over year hardware sales manage to just beat last years total by about 10k or so.

Next week will be interesting because for week ending feb 15th 2009 PS3 sales actually went up from the previous week to nearly 20k. So could be a big test next week to stay ahead year over year sales wise.

Methinks you forget that last week PS3 got a 6.5K boost from a bunch of new releases. If you compare it to 2 weeks ago with no new releases it's only a 2K difference.

Coming off a 20% boost to be almost flat with the week prior to the boost means it's more likely that PS3 HW is stabilising.

"just beat" by 10K YoY for the week? You do realise that equates to a 56% YoY increase? Not sure how you get "just beat" from that. PS3 should be so lucky to do that kind of % increase world wide.

Whatever glasses you're using to look at PS3 numbers its the exact opposite of rose-tinted.

The period to look at YoY is from the beginning of march to the end of April. PS3 put up some big numbers (relatively) in that period in 2009 and this time round what's coming to provide that boost?.

Think you misunderstand what i was saying.

So i will say it in short for you.

Next week the PS3 HAS to stay above 19k hardware sales, or it will be DOWN year over year.

Understand now?

 

I think I understood you well enough. Your analysis of data caused you to worry (or hope? or perhaps just simply opine) that PS3 is starting to perform below expectations and that is has a high probability of falling below the corresponding 2009 weekly sales in next week's chart. I pointed out the error in your analysis. 

You: "PS3 sales falling down quite fast now then, another 10k (33%) almost taken off from last week."

Me: "last week PS3 got a 6.5K boost from a bunch of new releases. If you compare it to 2 weeks ago with no new releases it's only a 2K difference."

i.e. you say PS3 is falling fast, I point out that it's actually flattening out.

You: "Year over year hardware sales manage to just beat last years total by about 10k or so"

Me: "10K YoY for the week ... equates to a 56% YoY increase...PS3 should be so lucky to do that kind of % increase world wide."

i.e. you imply that 10K YoY weekly increase is not all that flash, I point out that actually in the context of sales numbers in Japan it's a 56% increase, which is a very good result.

You: "Next week will be interesting because for week ending Feb 15th 2009 PS3 sales actually went up from the previous week to nearly 20k...could be a big test next week..."

Me: No direct comment.

So, here's my comment: The trend line suggests it's more likely to exceed 20K than come in under 20K. Your suggestion that PS3 is in danger of being down YoY in the next chart, hence making it "interesting" and "a big test", is based on a dubious reading of the data. So, next week probably isn't going to be all that interesting, or a big test, at least not for the reason you suggest.  Barring a major disaster I think it's reasonable to expect PS3 to remain at least 20% ahead on weekly YoY, and that's vs. the week Street Fighter IV released, even if it is the same that's still a good result for YoY growth overall.

Oh, and happy birthday Demon's Souls (for last week).