To those who don't understand my 60 million in 2008 prediction

[Avinash_Tyagi]

Define "Most people". You're just ignoring facts. The world wide 360 numbers dont give a realistic view of the western markets for obvious reasons. Even if the Wii continues to sell at the current rate it'll take the best part of another year to overtake the 360 in the biggest market and the Wii is YEARS AWAY from having a dominant market share in America...So how is that "no interest"?

No you are, notice how you made no mention of the fact that Wii sells out constantly while the supply of 360's are plentiful, overlook that fact did you? And the fact that it indicates that Wii is in much higher demand, if 360 demand was strong then it would have a much more limited supply or much higher sales, its supply is not an issue and its sales are not that strong.

As for your comments about the PS2, yes the Wii is currently something like 98 million behind but the PS2 is the 2nd best selling console. Your comments suggest you think the PS2 will die in a few months and never sell another unit. No need to be clever about the "concepts of long & short run" its quite simple: The PS2 has sold 5m+ this year and was STILL the 2nd biggest selling console last week

Again you ignore the facts that PS2 still had high profile titles coming on its console this year, like God of War 2, that is not going to be an issue in the years to come, its sales will not be as high as before, Also PS2 was only the second highest selling console in the others market, not in NA or Japan, even arguing that it may add a few million ove rht next few years does not make the Wii's task that much more difficult, even if we say that PS2 will add 10 million over the next three years for the sake of argument, that brings it to 108 million units over 37 months (including december of this year), which means an average of about 2.92 million a month, not even double its current production, more like a million extra per moth, not an impossible task

The Wii only took around 9m out of the PS2s lead this year. So yes you're right the Wii needs to double production and keep that up for the next 3 years to pass the PS2s. Will that happen? Well despite the current crazy numbers Nintendo obviously arnt prepared to take a risk at the moment to increase the production. Let alone double the production. Even if the Wiis demand doubles tommorow it'll take another year for Nintendo tohave the confidence to DOUBLE the production.

Nope, again you didn't work out the math, you see even if they lose this upcoming year, it would still be very possible, lets assume that PS2 adds 10 million more in sales ove rhte next three years for the sake of argument, putting them around 122 million, Then lests say Wii ends this year at about 18 million, meaning 36 months to reach 104 million, assuming a year of maintained production of 1.8 million, would put next years Wii sales at about 22 million, putting them at about 40 million and 24 months to reach 82 million, at doubled production of 3.6 million a month Wii would surpass the PS2 in late october, early november of 2010.

This assumes that it takes over a year to up their production, and that PS2 console sales over 3 million each of the next three years, which is doubtful as nintendo already knows they are missing opportunities with limited supplies, since they do not have to lower their price to sell more consoles, just produce more, and since they make a profit on each console sold there is no reason not to invest in more production facilities, and PS2 is nearing the end of its lifespan