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Viper1 said:
One other thing to remember is that prior to April 1, 2007, Sony reported their shipped numbers as units manufactured. As of that date they began using the industry standard method of reporting units sold to retail/distributors.

This means that all of the PS and the PS2/PS3 before that data (making it the first PS3 FY) were manufactured units, not shipped.

Quite the confusing scenario when you try to take all the nuances into account.

That shift in 2007 is also when both Sony and MS stopped reporting quarterly shipments to each of the 3 main territories (Japan, Europe and America). VGC used to have a nice chart that broke down all those shipments but when MS and Sony stopped providing the numbers, they took down the chart.

That explains why they suddenly used a different chart after 2006 and why there was a difference between my calculations and the numbers the website showed for 2007. (The difference wasn't big, though. Definitely less than a million obviously,  but I'm too lazy to check right now).

I'd like to hear more opinions, though. Anyone else thinking the PS3 might peak after 2010? It looks rather unlikely to me (see my calculations below) but if anyone can provide a well thought out analysis I'd glady read through it.