Squilliam said:
Alby_da_Wolf said:
Squilliam said: If the hardware losses as implied are this low, then they must be losing money on something else. There are only 3 areas where they have big enough expenses to really lose all that money.
1. Advertising? They must be spending a lot here.
2. Game development? Face it, all HD publishers have been making losses and I doubt that Sony is any different.
3. Research and development? If they're spending heavily here, it means Console number 4 is inbound sooner than you think. |
3. It takes some years do develop a new console, not less than 4, most likely 5, and by at least one year (better 1and 1/2 year) before release they must be able to give developers a working development system for launch titles. So if they started development in late 2008- early 2009, just to make a hypothesis, it could mean a 2013-2014 PS4 release, totally coherent with a planned lifecycle ot at least 7 years as main console and 2-3 years (even more if it keeps on selling) as entry level console. So yes, I agree. Curiously there are still people that don't understand that a 10 years lifecycle doesn't mean the next system is released after 10 years from the previous, some companies make latest and previous generations of their products overlap for a period, and Sony is amongst these ones (In other markets, like cars, Renault has currently done it with old and new Clio for a period quite long, not only to clear old stocks, FIAT has sold both old and new Punto for years, with the old one catering for a lower segment, just like Renault does, while Citroen and VW do it for shorter periods, in razors and blades market Gillette sells Mach3, Fusion and older models, etc).
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You'd only account the costs of the R+D against the PS3 specifically if the R+D directly related to that console or successor. Since another handheld is expected far sooner than a new console you'd expect a majority of their efforts to be focusing on this area. Pre-production work and ramping up R+D are two different things, they have people working on the PS4 but probably not even a tenth of the people working directly on the successor to the PSP. Well at least thats the way I see it.
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I completely forgot PSP! (*) Yes, you're right about this, PSP successor should arrive quite sooner than PS3 one, given the disappointing results of the attempts to revive the former, while those for the latter worked a lot better. PSP2 release in Autumn 2011 wouldn't surprise me. OTOH , if PSP Go was meant to lengthen PSP life, an Autumn 2010 PSP2 release would be rushed, and I guess Sony prefers a meh Xmas 2010 for PSP rather than ruining PSP2 launch.
(*) Actually I don't like portables very much, I'm just mildly attracted by DS for its interactive recipe books, particularly those that suggest possible almost edible dishes given a disastrous choice of ingredients available in the fridge and larder.
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