None of those games has a chance in hell.
First, you need a multi platform game, so God of War III, Gran Turismo 5, and Halo: Reach are out.
Final Fantasy XIII will not work, because there are more shooter fans than JRPG fans.
So we are talking about a multi platform game with wide universal appeal, likely something that appeals to shooter fans. The next Grand Theft Auto or the next Call of Duty may have a chance, since install bases will be bigger by then.