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thx1139 on 05 February 2010
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binary solo said:
thx1139 said:

 

Like I already said: Isn't that a very similar argument to the one the Source used to say FFXIII  wouldn't spike HW in Japan by much? People bought a PS3 FOR Bayonetta? Is that a serious argument? I think a decent spike would be 40-50K, I think GoW III can safely manage that.

None of the games you mention have come close to selling as much as GoW II (forget about GoW I), closest is DMC at about 65% of GoW II. But GoW fans are not one trick ponies so the current PS3 owning user base can't just be based on sales of those games, I'm in the GoW user base, I have a PS3, and I don't have any of those games. The fact that these same genre games have failed to get even close to GoW II sales levels could imply that some GoW fans went with the 360 for those games. After all, there are a lot of people who went from PS2 to 360, some of them will be GoW fans, and some of them will buy a PS3 for GoW III. There are a decent number of people who went from PS2 to Wii, some of them will be GoW fans and some of them will buy a PS3 for GoW III.

I'm not claiming it will be a system seller, it's not, but I'm confident it can spike the HW sales, possibly second only (in 2010 on PS3) to the HW push that GT5 will give. I can certainly see GoW III spiking hardware more than FF XIII.

People very rarely by a console for 1 game.  Yet a game may push someone off the fence.  So a beatem up fan may have been pushed over the edge for Ninja Gaiden Sigma X another one for DMC4 or another one for Bayonetta or maybe the person is also a Stealth action game so they were pushed over the edge for MGS4.    The point being that this far in the life of the PS3 it is highly unlikely that any single game will push a mass amount of people over the edge and then continue pushing people over the edge.

Even FFXIII in Japan really wasnt a big deal.  Going into December the PS3 was already selling more than twice as many consoles in 2009 than they did in 2008. So FFXIII pushed an extra 100-150K of people to purchase a PS3.  That is a nice amount, but nothing spectacular.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.