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It's a very flawed comparison.

PS1 had a pretty staggered launch and had to build up it's brand recognition, in addition in comparing the launches of PS3 and PS1, from when it was first available anywhere, this year PS1 sells 19 million units and next year over 20 million and the year after that just under 20. I hardly see PS3 having similar success.

I expect PS3 to fall behind PS1 by 8 million this year, 12 million next year, and 12 million the year after that Unless Sony drops the price to $200 right now.