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Kantor said:
I'll go with "maybe".

ME2 is clearly fantastic, but there are many fantastic games releasing this year, and ME2 may suffer from Q1-release-syndrome: GoTY awards are usually given to games which release in Q3/Q4.

I was thinking the same thing.  In 2008, Fallout 3 got the most GOTY awards.  GTA4 and MSG4 both had higher metacritic ratings, be were released early in the year, hurting their chances.