PS3's quarter was a little worse than I had expected. I had expected 7m, maybe even more.
Look at it this way, with Slim and all, and no competition in Japan, they only beat 360 6.5-5.2. Most of that difference is in Japan.
It's probably becoming safe to say that in (USA+Europe), PS3 cant overtake the 360 anymore this generation. It's been safe to say that about the USA for some time. The 360 lead in (USA+Europe) is probably around 8 million, and even in the best of times for Sony (aka right after a price cut+new model launch) not declining much. Most of PS3's WW gains are only coming from Japan.
Also "the gap" gets a new lease on life in my mind with Sony shipping 500k less PS3's than I expected. Instead of the gap being 4.7, it's 5.2. Xbox bought more time, even an uncertain future. The 1, 2, and 3, calender quarters are tough to gain ground on. I think 2010 is safe for 360 to stay ahead. The question whether it stays ahead indefinitely depends on if pricing, Natal, Reach, can change things in 2010.
We'll know so much more at the end of 2010 than we do now. I think at the end of 2010, we'll reasonably have our 2nd place decided for the generation. The trends and numbers at that point should be enough to know. I am pretty sure it will be 360.
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