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jarrod said:

Well, I see you comparing a new IP (ARF) to sequels (Atelier, Magna Carta).  Pick a niche RPG sequel on Wii (like Shiren 3) and it actually did comparably.  I also see a Tales game that launched against FFXIII only managing to match what a low budget half-sequel managed on the same platform already a year back.  Disappointing yeah, but understandable in hindsight.

Would you also say "game-like games" underperform on DS?  I mean Graces outsold Hearts.  And your god (the batshit CEO of Enterbrain) also said DQIX underperformed.  You're in full agreement there?

Consedering the Lower price point, one savefile (which pretty much forces the hardcore DQ player to buy a second copy) and the enourmous userbase, i'd say yes.But does it matter that it is a new IP or not? End of Eternity just did came out, and it's for sure that it did sell above 100k.Tales of the Abyss did came a week before Kingdom Hearts II, and look how it sold. If the Tales of fans own the console for which they are releasing the To game they will buy it, and there are probably a lot out there that just did buy one the consoles for just for just one them. But Graces just didn't do it for them, and perhaps that has something to do with the catalogue that the Wii has to offer for the traditional Japanese gamer..
jarrod said:

 

Koei Tecmo itself expected a million from Gundam Musou (on just PS3) and expects the same from Hokuto Musou (Ps3/360 multi).   Given that, I don't think anyone can really be surprised Sengoku Musou 3 didn't meet their expectations either, they have something of a track record to uphold...

That million is just stupid PR-talk, nobody in his sane mind can believe that it will sell that well (even 500k would be a miracle).