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Seems unlikely to me. According the VGC, the 360 would need to sell about 13 million units. According to the numbers you posted for last year, that's about 30% more than they've done in the past 2 years. I don't know where that extra 30% is going to come from.

There was a Halo game released this year and that didn't sky rocket sales past what it did the previous year. Gears 2 came out and that didn't do it either. Alan Wake, Crack Down 2, Splinter Cell... I don't think any of these games or the other announced games that i'm aware of are going to push it to a 30% increase in sales. On top of that the global economy is still in the crapper.