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Darth, a decline isn't measured by reaching an arbitrary benchmark like you've suggested.

Final Fantasy is selling less this gen than last.
Tales games are selling much less this gen than last.
Kingdom Hearts, Star Ocean and many others are selling less this gen than last.

Some by very large margins.

Now, Monster Hunter is growing and other handheld rpg's are also showing growth, but personally I think MH borders more on an action game than a typical jRPG. But considering how much the Japanese market has been declining, and most of the positives in the Japanese market are expanded audience games like Wii Fit, Wii Sports, etc. it's inevitable that the jRPG genre is declining to counter that, being probably the biggest genre in Japan within the last two or three generations.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.