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How can anyone predict that far ahead when there are even more wild-cards being thrown this year between Natal, Arc, price cuts and manufacturer motivations of which any number of these factors can change the result significantly?

The only thing I can predict with certainty is that there will be uncertainty. Even if Natal fails like a dead heap, Microsoft can still pull out price cuts and I doubt that Sony will be so keen to follow them down that road this quickly and wipe out yet another potential year of profit.

2011 is on the cards as a possibility, though we could just as easily be sitting in the same position on the same day in 2011 and wondering when the Xbox 360 will reach a 10M lead over the PS3.



Do you know what its like to live on the far side of Uranus?