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Danny355 said:
The PS2 is likley to sell another 15m+ units by the end of 2010 and at this point stating the Wii is going to sell 33m for the next 3 years is just silly speculation, let alone the 40+ it would realistically need to overtake the PS2. Its just about possible but very, very unlikely. People are getting very carried away after seeing the holiday numbers. Next year will be huge for the Wii but its not going to sell twice what it did this year. Lets not get carried away the Wii has sold 15m in its first year. Next year the 360 and the PS3 will be much more competitively priced so even though the Wii will be huge again I expect the market shares to stay the same as they are now.

 Most people have no interest in the PS3 and 360, you notice even with its price drop PS3 struggled to compete with Wii, even during a lull point in the market, since sales in Japan always take a downturn in Oct and Nov, yet the Wii kept chugging along at a healthy pace, why?  Because Wii success is independent of the PS3 and 360, you think grandma is going to want to headshot aliens? Probably not, but she will want to bowl



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)