Twistedpixel said:
1. Working on a new system yes, but thats only in terms of interface/software and basic design. The actual hardware has to be defined more than two years prior to release, which is why rumours about next generation hardware come out between 2.5 and 3 years before release. If a console maker gets surprised it would take two years for them to respond to a successful console launch. 2. The emerging markets of the 2nd/3rd world will keep the present consoles afloat for at least another 5 years. If only to win these markets a current generation console will tend to linger on. If theres a fairly substantial price difference they can keep both in the market at the same time. If say the console launches for $299 $399, they can keep a $100-$150 Xbox 360 on the market to satisfy the lower end. Microsoft is no stranger to offering multiple generations of Windows for sale for example. 3. It depends on how they use it after the release of the next Xbox. Even if it doesn't last 12 years it'll probably make it to 9/10 years no problem because the system is just incredibly cheap and can support quantities of flash in place of a mechanical HDD and the games are small so advances in distigital distribution can keep it going. 4. Without knowing what their intentions are you cannot predict their direction. 5. Profit is defined as measureable and realisable. If they could sell the division and make back more than they have lost then by any accounting text book they have made a profit even if they don't realise these gains, they've still made an asset by any definition. If they've met this definition then anything since that point has been pure profit from their investment. I just felt like arguing, this is a forum after all. |
1. Agree. I think Sony lost some of its arrogance due to Xbox success. Thats why they dont will rely on their name again and I think they wont be surprised by MS again.
2. Emerging markets will play a role but I think they arent ready yet. maybe next gen or the gen after the financial stability and overall wealth in those nations is not equally spread thats why piracy is a big issue. 95% of the market are Europe Japan NA yet.
3. We will see Natal can prolonger the life eventually. But I still have doubts that Xbox will live as long as PS1 or PS2 in the next generation.
4. I give my best opinion based on my logic I can try to predict their actions, ofcourse I would never say this is going to happen I just want to explain why I believe this will happen. It could go either way ofcourse.
5. They would profit in the end just like Sony if they would sell SCE. I read some articles about the possible intentions of MS wich was to spread their standards like DirectX and Control the living room of people.l I think thats their primary goal if they would sell the Game devision they wouldnt make a loss but they would still lose.
ofcourse I like also to argue thats why I am here just wanted to understand your intentions