What movie do you think will win Best Picture in 82nd Academy Awards?

[Reasonable]

RockSmith372 said:

Have you ever watched Dances with Wolves? Avatar has almost the exact same plot. The effects in Avatar are amazing, but I think the dark horse, Inglourious Basterds, will upset Avatar.

I'd be very surprised if IB got it, not that it's not the better film, which it is (although not quite as good as Hurt Locker I thought) but because it just doesn't feel like it has the right mood around it.  Waltz should get supporting actor easy though, and I'd hope to see it get script as well.