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mortono on 20 January 2010
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Sky Render said:

I think a few missed the 0 in the topic title. 10 million copies is a lot, far more than any Zelda or Metroid has ever sold. Only one 3D Mario ever broke 10 million, that being Mario 64. Myself, I don't expect Zelda Wii to outdo Twilight Princess' sales by much, if at all, and Other M will likely have trouble breaking a million units. Galaxy 2 I expect will fare better than either, but not by a lot. It will likely cap somewhere between 5 and 6 million units, unless I've missed my guess.

As for likely future 10mil+ sellers, I can think of only one in the pipeline: Wii Relax. If they made a sequel to NSMB Wii, assuming the quality was up to par, it could easily break 10 million too. Obviously Wii Fit Plus is a shoe-in for that status too, but it's already out.

EDIT: Erm, am I the only one who's actually looking at past sales trends, current information on products, and logical most-likely scenarios to extrapolate sales figures? Because I'm really getting a serious "I wanna see it happen so it can happen" vibe from a lot of these suggestions... Just sayin'...

You're certainly right about Zelda. Unless it's radically different in a way that appeals to a larger audience, I don't see it selling any higher than 7-8m. Mario Galaxy 2 will likely sell 8-9m like the first one. Still, there's a chance it could sell 10m with Galaxy 1 and NSMB Wii improving the "Mario" brand. Plus there's a larger userbase.

Honestly, this is a hard question to ask. It would be easy enough to make a new Mario Kart, New Super Mario Bros, and Wii Sports, but none of those are going to push system sales. Really there needs to be something innovative that appeals to new audiences.