Kenology said:
Yeah, it was... but then, how interesting can a "I'll reach the goal before you reach the halfway mark" race really be? lol! |
Actually, I think it was possibly the most interesting question I've seen posed on this site which is why I got involved. It was really asking, "Who will sell the next 1.5 million units faster?" (with the PS3 being given a little head start).
You had to factor in historically high but declining Wii sales vs historically low but increasing PS sales, price drop effects for both consoles, the highest profile games of the generation releasing for both consoles, differing holiday sales effects, etc. Also, you had to decide whether Wii could reach its target before the (now delayed) GT5 release among other factors.
Many respected people on this site have been surprised by how tight the race is. ioi's revised predictions had the gap at 400k at this point and he originally believed that PS3 sales would drop to around 20k in the fall and that it would be outsold by Wii every week following the Wii price drop. He has admitted that things didn't play out quite as he expected.
At this point, Wii is leading by over 100k, but timewise, we still only have a 1 week difference. Of course, as sales decline for both consoles, a 100k lead is going to mean a greater time lead, but many are expecting another momentum shift through February and March due to the release schedule.
Anyway, until this thread popped up, I had never posted very much because I've usually found that questions in thread titles on this site require no thought and have obvious answers. This one wasn't at all simple (at least, to me).
