How much will Zelda Wii sell?

[burgerstein]

Gonna have to disagree a bit.

nintendo_fanboy said:
A lot of you are exremely overestimating this game's sales. Here are some factors that usually hurt sales:

-The first installment of a series usually sells better than upcoming ones, so it'll be hard to beat TP for this game.
-The second installment can and usually will outsell the first with the addition of an important new feature. Halo 2 beat Halo 1 because of the addition of online multiplayer. Zelda Wii will have motion plus.
-Usage of the Wii Motion Plus could be hurting, it doesn't have though.
-They'll bundle it. Problem solved.
-Unlike the successful bridge games that were either Mario or new franchises, Zelda is either not known to casuals at all, or worse, known as a hardcore franchise that isn't for them
-I know it's anecdotal, but I know plenty of people who loved the original Zelda on the NES. It's at least known and appreciated by lapsed gamers.
-the two DS games that had that bridgey approach didn't sell more than other games in the franchise, Spirit Tracks seems to sell even worse than PH.
-Harder to agrue with this one. But handhelds aren't consoles.


All in all, I think if Nintendo tries to cater the casuals the game won't sell over 5 million because casuals will still not be interested in the game in huge amounts while hardcore gamers will be a bit reserved if the game isn't primarily for them.

If Nintendo is able to create a revolutionary game that still feels like a Zelda (As they did with OoT), they might be able to reach the 7-8 million range. I think everything north of 8 million is completely illusionary.

Mario Kart Wii made a good bridge game. If Zelda Wii can get back to the basics I doubt it can't do the same.