welshbloke said:
Microsoft are making Natal both the hardware and the software available for the 3rd party developers to develop. In the case of Natal the hardware was created in line with the software without the software the hardware is useless. As the boffin said in his 15 seconds of fame when describing the depth cam and how it defines the points on the skeletal. What Natal does which is clever is remove the need for a board like we see in Wii Fit but more than that it builds upon it, not only does the camera sense motion but also the depth and skeletal which will only make for a more interesting and more challenging potential for a fitness package. Now whether a 3rd party can produce the software that engages like the Wii Fit package remains to be seen. Lets imagine for a second. A Natal device could not only record the number of leg raises it could also assess how well the leg was raised. That I believe is the potential game changer element Natal has over the competition. I think the Natal camera should always be referred to as a depth cam so as to emphasis the difference, maybe then the PS Eye comparisons can stop. |
I'm afraid not, the software you are thinking of is the development libraries, I'm referrign to the actual end user software, the games themselves, the hardware is not being designed around the hardware, as MS doesn't have the software teams like Nintendo has.
See the problem with that is, we've seen what the third parties have produced in those regards on the Wii, failures compared to Nintendo, the reason is they don't understand the values of the downmarket like Nintendo does.
See the thing is, there is already software that will do that, on the Wii, but that isn't making large software sales, the reason is that the way the games are made doesn't appeal to the downmarket values, its not just about getting a technical up on the competition, the downmarket doesn't care about that, they want the game that appeals to their needs and values, and Wii fit succeeds at that, no other fitness software has come close.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)