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c0rd said:
Gamerace said: 

So it could go the route of CoD MW2 (increasing) or Guitar Hero WT (decreasing from overuse).  

 

Do you predict more sales, or less? I can't see any home console game releasing in 2010 beating this number except the Wii titles we don't know about (Vitality).

 

I agree which was my original post really.   GT5 on PS3 will be the biggest challenge as far as HD consoles go I figure but it's limited by PS3's smaller userbase.

NSMBW, WiiFitPlus andWSR might all outsell Reach but for games released in '10 the only likely candidates would be something on Wii which we don't know enough about yet to form an opinion.   Not Metroid nor SMG2 (which I figure will get 6m).    Zelda (if it releases in '10) we know they are tinkering with and if they can make it appealing to the masses like Mario Kart or NSMBW then it has a chance of beating Halo Reach.   Girls could be a huge expansion market for Zelda.   I know my daughter loved Zelda but always found it to hard and frustrating to play.

That leaves Wii Vitality which is totally unknown.   If it's the next Wii Fit, Halo Reach may lose (but Reach will be a lot more front loaded, so it'll depend on when this game launches), if it's the next Wii Music then Halo Reach is home free.

I do think Halo Reach will beat Halo 3's first day/week/month sales  (unless it sucks).   I didn't realize how poor a value ODST was though.