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Gamerace on 16 January 2010
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themanwithnoname said:
Gamerace said:
JaggedSac said:
Gamerace said:
JaggedSac said:
Gamerace said:
Cheat1011 said:
Gamerace, do you honestly believe ZELDA will outsell a Halo game? GoW won't make past the 5 million mark.


Well Twilight Princess sold about 6m (between GC & Wii) which is still better than Halo ODST at about 4.5m but no where close to Halo 3 at 10m.   Reach is the 4th Halo game this gen and Halo is suffering from being over-milked.   Reach will likely fall somewhere between the sales of ODST and 3.

So if Nintendo makes a Zelda TP2 then it's reasonable sales might be close  (Wii's base is substancially larger now than at launch) but I'd give Reach the edge.

However if Nintendo makes Zelda's more accessible and taps into it's expanded market (girls in particular) it could easily shoot into double digit millions and go places yet another Halo FPS simply cannot.
The Top 20 LIVE Games of 2009
 

After a few days of number crunching, here are the most popular games on the LIVE Service for 2009 based on connectivity.


Xbox 360 Top Live Titles (based on UU’s)

1    Halo 3
2    Call of Duty 4
3    Modern Warfare 2
4    Call of Duty: WaW
5    Gears of War 2
6    GTA IV (Purchase and download the full game)
7    Left 4 Dead
8    Halo 3: ODST
9    FABLE II Episode 1 (of 5)
10   バイオハザード５」デモ (BioHazard 5 -  Resident Evil 5)
11   Halo Wars - Demo
12   RESIDENT EVIL 5   
13   Fallout 3
14   UFC 2009 Undisputed Demo
15   Left 4 Dead 2 - Demo
16   Gears of War
17   1 vs 100
18   Guitar Hero World Tour 
19   Guitar Hero III

20   FIFA 09

 

 

It still has it.


What's your point?   That doesn't dispute what I said in any way.

You stated that Halo is suffering from being over milked.  A franchise that is suffering does not come out on top over newer games.  Especially newer games that are supposedly more popular now.

That only proves people who own the game still like to play it.   Doesn't mean they'll feel the need to get another version of Halo.  

Conversely, Zelda owners who have totally finished the game will need to buy a new version to get more play time with Zelda but Halo 3 owners can continue to just enjoy the online without ever buying Reach.  Heck the only version of Halo I own is the original on PC and I'm still content with that.


So you really think that anybody still playing Halo 3 multiplayer on a semiregular basis isn't going to get Halo: Reach? Somehow I don't see the logic here.

Without question the vast majority will but it'll all depend on how different it is from Halo 1,2,3 and ODST.    If it's more of the same a large group of people may just skip it.  Especially if they already have Halo 3, Wars, ODST.  They might opt for a different franchise.  If it's significantly different, and better, it might sell better then Halo 3.   

So it could go the route of CoD MW2 (increasing) or Guitar Hero WT (decreasing from overuse).   But back to my main point.   Live usage is no indication either way.   Halo's 3 continued popularity may help or hinder a sequel.   It depends on the sequel.  Also to the point on hand, If Reach ends up the biggest game of the year also depends on how well other titles do which this Live report gives no indication of at all.

So I see no point in it being posted.