Meh, "casual"/"hardcore" are one thing. informed/misinformed is another, I don't see why a "casual" gamer is assumed to be misinformed while a "hardcore" one is assumed to be informed.
Bet with Dr.A.Peter.Nintendo that Super Mario Galaxy 2 won't sell 15 million copies up to six months after it's release, the winner will get Avatar control for a week and signature control for a month.