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supercat said:

lol that was a horrible comparison. I'm sure that this $90 wii fit comes with a balance board, doesnt look like that would be a good idea with natal games, b/c MS is planning several games for it.  Also, which console's market do you think would be better for casuals, Wii's or 360's?   0/10 for compaison, jarrod.

So, we are back to paying $59.99 at retail for just a game, OR something more reasonable by XBL. Also, for retailers to carry natal games, the natal HW will have to sell big time, and that is iffy. I honestly dont think that most retailers would carry more than 5 or 6 Natal titles on stock, so if 75% of the publishers are making something for Natal, it's obvious that MS will be pushing them to put this on XBL, as it is the lowest cost lowest risk option for retail and developers.

Again, the causal market seemingly has no issue paying full price retail.  Wii Fit might come with a Balance Board, but it's still $90.  Wii Sports Resort, EA Sports Active, Just Dance... these games all sell fine at $50 or more.  Casuals seemingly have less issue with full pricepoints than the core audience considering how comparably well successful casual and bridge games hold their MSRPs. 

Casuals will never buy stuff off PSN or XBLA though, and at that point publishers would be selling to a minority (XBL members) of a minority (Natal owners).  You can only dig down so far, XBLA would definitely be the more "risky" option.