| kopstudent89 said: nice so ioi is winning. But ZorroX got it right for FF week! Though if he did, he should've done better than ioi the following 2 weeks which he didnt. |
Things got a bit messy with both ioi and ZorroX revising their predictions at different points in time. ioi posted his changes, but ZorroX only provided revisions to Noobie on request (never posted in the 10M/5M discussion) and sometime after ioi. I'm a bit murky on the details.
But... I can provide a few numbers:
ZorroX's original predictions at the end of September had Wii at 9,648,362 for this week which is actually closer that ioi's revised prediction of 9,771,252 made on October 21. The VGC cume for Wii is 9,674,461 so ZorroX's number is 26.1k under and ioi's number is 122.9k over. ioi's original guess made on Sept 28 was 9,873,362 for this week which is 198.9k over.
ZorroX's original prediction for PS3 had it at 4,763,366 for this week. ioi's revised PS3 prediction was 4,395,749 and his original was 4,423,366. VGC's cume for PS3 this week is 4,579,587. So, ZorroX's prediction is 183.8k over while ioi's revised and original guesses are 183.8k and 156.2k under respectively.
LOOK AT THAT LAST SENTENCE! ZorroX's original and ioi's revised PS3 cumes have the exact same error in opposite directions!!!!!!
Anyway, when you look at the cumulative result, ZorroX's original predictions are "winning" because his Wii total is almost dead on. ioi's predictions have been very good for the last few weeks, but he underestimated the PS3 and overestimated the Wii throughout most of the contest so there is a pretty big cumulative error there: his Oct 21 numbers predicted that Wii would be leading by 375.5k by this point and perhaps it's worth noting that PS3 has already exceeded his predicted total through the end of January.
HOWEVER... ioi's PS3 cume is going to end up much better than ZorroX's. That's because ZorroX's PS3 predictions post-FFXIII week are all CRAZZY!
