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Yeah mario kart has a much better chance than even Galaxy does.

I think Halo 3 should end up roughly the same as, or 1 million more than Halo 2..... so it will be under 10 million.
Gran Turismo is certainly possible, but it will be tough.
GTA4 is a certainty (assuming you are counting both 260 and PS3)
Wii Fit i am not sure on, but if it can perform week in week out like brain training then definately.
Wii play is a definate.
I would doubt FF13, but it could suprise me.