Garcian Smith said:
Hokay. We can basically distill the OP's arguments down to 4 points:
1) The Wii is losing marketshare.
2) The HD Twins are seeing several "amazing" releases this year, while the Wii's first-party releases are just rehashes.
3) Target and Best Buy are starting to refuse to stock "casual games."
4) The Wii is just two fads linked together.
And my responses...
1) Marketshare is meaningless in the grand scheme of things, thus why it's only cited by people who want the HD Twins to "win" the "console war." The only thing that matters to the success of a business is profit. And Nintendo are profiting like mad from the Wii, while MS and Sony continue to take heavy losses from their respective home console lines.
2) Putting aside for the moment the hilarity of arguing that Nintendo's Wii lineup this year is made up of "rehashes" while citing a laundry list of sequels on the HD Twins in support of your argument, I can guarantee you that none of the games you listed will sell as much as NSMB Wii or even Zelda Wii.
Furthermore, the only Nintendo-published Wii game that I can think of this year that's a "rehash" is Super Mario Galaxy 2. Metroid: Other M and Zelda Wii are both going to be radically different than their predecessors, and there's also several new IPs (Zangeki no Reginleiv/Dynamic Slash, Line Attack Heroes, Span Smasher) slated for '10. And furthermore, given Nintendo's tendency to not announce games more than six months in advance, we can probably expect more come E3.
3) I tried to trace the source on this claim and came up with this Gamasutra article, which itself doesn't cite any primary sources. You'll have to do better than that.
4) That's a whole lot of conjecture, and sustained high sales and profits over a three year time period say otherwise.
Furthermore, the Wii is still outselling any of its competitors by far, and making tons more profit for Nintendo than either of the HD Twins are doing for their respective companies. If the Wii is "in trouble," then what does that say about its competitors, which have consistently lower sales numbers and aren't even turning a profit?
|