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This is a "reload" of a threat created more than 2 years ago to see how accurate my predictions were.

 

People were throwing a lot of crap at me then  but look how things turned out.  The causes could be controversial at times but the results are clear. People try to "create sense based on a limited and often flawed information". There are many other variables which our "way of thinking" might forget/fail to include, either because there are just too many of them, or just people can't or don't want to see them.

Here are the facts that I had predicted and let's see how they turned out to be.

Fact 1 :  High Price Consoles never win!

Well, PS3 is not winning and 360 and Wii are selling more, right? Check!

PS3 got a price cut, went down the $300 treshold and started to gain market share. Check!

Fact 2 : Sony's Technical Specs are always vastly exaggerated and Claims Never Come True!

Well, it was the case with PS1 and PS2, and PS3 can barely compete with 360, and only several first party games can surpass the 360 after loooooooong periods of development. Check!

Even though technical superiority of the PS3 is getting more evident, it is almost non-existent among third parties and exclusive to first parties. Overall, the gap is way less than predicted. I don't think there is anybody buying PS3 because of technical superiority anymore (but because of exclusives, brand loyalty, bluray etc). Check!

Fact 3 : Always the Weakest Console wins!

This is not a reasoning, this is just a twist of fate, it happens to be so. And guess what? Wii is the weakest console and it is winning, by and large! Check!

Nothing has changed since, and the history is proving me right! Check!

Fact 4 : Sony is Notorious for the LENGHTY LOADING TIMES.

Unfortunately so.  And now what happens? They put "mandatory installation" to match the loading times of 360 or wii. The additional hard drive does not make it better than other machines. NXE on the other hand shortens the loading times of 360 considerably, making it faster than ps3 on equal terms. Check!

Same as above although loading is not so different than 360 this time, and occasionally better. Still check!

Fact 5 : PS3 has a greater speed as potential.

This potential is shown occasionally with games like Killzone, but not too often or drastic though (which is why it's "potential"). I'm still firm in my opinion that Xbox's superiority over ps2 was much greater than ps3 over 360. Check!

Same as above. Check!

Fact 6 : Xbox360 has More Memory and a Better Memory Structure.

No question about. Despite improvements on the ps3 side, this is still the case, will remain so. 360 simply has more memory and better memory architecture as admitted by many firms. Check!

The Memory limitation remains one of the greatest handicup in front of firms not being able to show off the real PS3 potential. Check!

Fact 7 : You cant win globally if you fail in either of those two markets, Japan and America.

This is why 360 is not winning (and can't possibly win) this generation. Check!

It's even more obvious now that 360 is losing in Europe as well. Check!

Fact 8 : Wii is picking up and gonna take the lead soon.

That is what exactly happened! Check!

Although it slowed down and lost the initial momentum, Wii shows no signs of losing the lead. Check!

Fact 9 :  PS3 sales are far from building a momentum.

Yes, there is some sort of increase in sales but a momentum needs more than this. PS3 was surpassed by both other consoles in all 3 years now, so we can't talk much about momentum! Check!

This is only part I'm kind of proven wrong as of now. However, I was intentionally ruling out the price reduction possibility, and as I always stated, a reduction in PS3 should have been expected to turn the tides up for Sony. Still, the game is not over, and PS3 is far from catching wii and taking the lead, and there is the Natal and other 360 moves...

 

Opinions please!



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

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Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates