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NeoMatrix said:
You are underestimating the power of Gran Turismo 5, like some people did with NSMB.

Also, you should better list new Wii games, that will pass atleast 200k in Japan during 2010.

Is that in reference to NSMB Wii > GT5? GT has always sold less than FF in Japan. I expect anywhere from 1.1-1.5mil for GT5, which is easily in NSMB Wii's reach for the year.

As for games passing 200k, I don't see why we must discern the new from the old - older games push hardware all the same. In that category, we have NSMB Wii (1mil+), Wii Fit Plus / Wii Sports Resort (500k+), then PokePark / Taiko 2 / Mario Kart Wii (200k+). These old games on their own are enough for most of the new PS3 releases, the only older game from the PS3 that will make 200k+ is FFXIII.

For new games, there aren't many announced for 2010. SMG2, Wii Vitality, and Zelda Wii are all 2010 and definite 500k+, though I don't know what else Nintendo will come up with.