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Danny355 said:

Dear Mr Lucas: I really disagree with you & I think you are slightly insane.

The Wii is unlikley to reach 20m by the start of 2008, as you still seem so sure of, more like 17-18.

 Yes the Wii will remain huge next year, but it is not going to sell 60m in the next 12 months! Half that is possible though.

I think you are over-estimating the importance of Wii Fit. Excercise is not new. Excercise gimmicks are not new. Unfit people dont like to excercise. In fact unfit people hate excercise. Once people realise that its not a magic cure and you STILL HAVE TO WORK HARD, in a game or not, it'll trail off. It'll have an initial huge sales, for the first 2 or 3 months, maybe 6, but I dont think it will be particularly huge in the long term, I thin kit'll be a fad.

 The Wii has EASILY won this generation. Its over, end of story, cya later.....But Will the Wii outsell the PS2? Possibly, but its chasing what is still very much a moving target. The Wii will have to move things up a notch and have the complete consistency the PS2 has had to do it. Personally I cant see it happening. The PS2 is still huge the world over with probably another 20-30m sales left to come. I think the Wii has probably shown enough promise to say that it'll beat the (now dead) PS1 though.

240m is crazy talk, 500m should have you commited.

 


Lucas is saying 60 million total by the end of 2008. Everyone thought he was crazy when he predicted 20 million by the end of this year. That number will be close. If it happens then maybe he isn't so crazy.