Xelloss on 04 January 2010
It all depends on the story. At the end of the day, if the story is compelling enough, the game will do amazingly well. If the story is third rate, the game will flop. The crappy part is, if the story is third rate and the game flops, people will mistakenly write off the concept.
Visual novels are very popular in Japan. For some reason, people do not seem to be making the connection, but thats exactly what Heavy Rain is. Its a visual novel done in the west, with western budget and art and GFX.
I think visual novels have the capability to be very popular here as well... though whether that happens this year, or in 5 years will largely be determined by how amazing Heavy Rains story is.