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I would like the people who voted "Hell Yeah" to type their names in this thread. So when 2010 passes with the XBox 360 still ahead of the PS3 they can eat crow. "Ya want salt with da crow?"
Last year the 360 fans including myself were claiming the 360 would be 9 or 10 million in front of PS3 by end of 2009. The gap was only 5.3 million or something due to PS3 late rally.
360 with Natal and price cuts of its own will rally in sales in the final quarter for 2010. Very likely the PS3 prices will remain unchange. I believe the XBox 360 will erase the first half gains the PS3 makes in 2010 with late sales rush due to lower sales prices and Natal effect. De ja vu'.
2011 or 2012 may be the year PS3 overtakes the 360 in worldwide sales. It may or may not even happen.
Exclusive games will not have a huge impact on system sales maybe 2 or 3 weeks and then back to normal sales. PS3 is in its fourth year. 360 is in its fifth year. Only price cuts and something really special can help give system sales a prolonged boost.